Long Term Trading

In this part, I will publish articles about my personal experience with long-term trading techniques, applications and tools.

The first article is about a long term, low risk profitable trading with the SPY, the S&P500 tracker.

Long term, low risk high probability profitable trading with SPY?
Part 1:

If you do not have the time tracking many stocks to spread your risk, you can use an ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) like SPY, a tracker based on the S&P500 index. That way your risk is spread over 500 stocks. Of course you still need to apply money and risk management, meaning you would also use an initial and a trailing stop.

Long term, low risk high probability profitable trading with SPY?
Part 2:

Did price reach a low for wave 3 on November 21, 2008? Looking at the next weekly chart, apparently it did. At that point we can ask the question, up to what level will price react to complete wave 4?

Long term, low risk high probability profitable trading with SPY?
Part 3:

One day later, March 10 we have a confirmation of the turning point with a big white candle making up some kind of morning star candle pattern with the previous candles. Our buying price at the opening would still be OK. We can expect a first resistance at the level of the last exhaustion gap down.

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Long term S&P500 analysis September 2009

September 2, 2009. Looking at the S&P500 semi-logarithmic monthly chart since 1957, my Elliott count gives me a long term top for impulse wave [5] in 2007. This top was reached with a Fibonacci projection from the start and end of wave [1], exactly at the 1794% target, as did wave [3] already before.